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<Title>Meet a Retriever&#8212;Nathan Wooddell &#8217;23, graduate student specializing in Russian and cybersecurity&#160;</Title>
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    <strong><em>Meet </em></strong><em>Nathan Wooddell ’<strong>23,</strong></em><strong><em> <a href="https://www.csee.umbc.edu/undergraduate/computer-science-bs/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">computer science</a>. Nathan is a member of UMBC’s  CyberCorps: Scholarship for Service cohort, and is getting his master’s in cybersecurity as a graduate researcher at the <a href="https://www.energy.gov/nnsa/national-nuclear-security-administration" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">National Nuclear Security Agency</a></em>.<em> Nathan attributes much of his success to the connections he’s made with the staff and faculty at UMBC who have helped him to discover his true passions. During his time as an undergraduate at UMBC, Nathan also completed a Russian language certificate, and has found a way to combine his interests of both cybersecurity and the Russian language in the professional world. Take it away, Nathan.  </em></strong>
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    <h4>Q: What’s one thing you’d want someone to know about the support you find at UMBC?</h4>
    
    
    
    <p><strong>A: </strong>In many classes, casual visits to professors during office hours, polite interactions during class, and expressing interest in the subject matter can go a long way. Such interactions help with all aspects of student life. Too many students fail to take proper advantage of the fantastic support that the university faculty can offer. The best way to do this in my experience is simply to speak with your professors after class or outside of class.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Such interactions help with all aspects of student life. The faculty can offer support in the form of academic resources, scholarship recommendations, professional guidance, and even letters of recommendation for work or graduate programs.</p>
    
    
    
    <h4>Q: Tell us about someone in the community who has inspired you or supported you, and how they did it.</h4>
    
    
    
    <p><strong>A: </strong>I want to give special thanks to Russian instructor <strong>Vira Zhdanovych</strong>. Since I first transferred to UMBC, I have taken Russian language courses with Professor Zhdanovych. It was through her guidance that I got my first research experience when she advised me on my 2022 Undergraduate Research and Creative Achievement Day presentation <em>Analyzing the Russian Federation’s Impact on Global Cyber Security</em>. This was also the first time that I was able to merge my interest in cybersecurity and Russian language. </p>
    
    
    
    <img width="640" height="480" src="https://umbc.edu/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/IMG_0536.jpg" alt='Students learning Russian pose for a photo with their professor, holding up different Russian letters to spell out the phrase "Happy New Year!" in the language.' style="max-width: 100%; height: auto;">At the MLLI winter and New Year celebration, hosted by the Russian Area in December 2023, Zhdanovych stands in the center holding an “M” and Wooddell is to her right holding the Russian letter “ы.” The full sign reads “Happy New Year!” (Photo courtesy of Zhdanovych)
    
    
    
    <p>I have worked extensively with Professor Zhdanovych to study and research the impact of the Russian-speaking world on the cybersecurity and intelligence communities—I owe so much of my professional and academic success to her.</p>
    
    
    
    <h4>Q: Tell us what you love about your academic program or an organization you’re involved in.</h4>
    
    
    
    <p><strong>A:</strong> I am a participant and former officer in UMBC’s Russian Club. The meetings of this club are especially good for learning about contemporary Russian culture, as well as the geopolitical history, which still shapes the diplomacy of the Russo-American relationship.</p>
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
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    				<p>“Had I known then what I know now about the university’s programs, rigor, faculty, and opportunities, UMBC would have been a shoo-in. Ultimately, I am so grateful that I applied to, and attended UMBC.”</p>
    
    				
    
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    				<p>Nathan Wooddell ’23, current master’s student</p>
    										
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    <h4>Q: What is your WHY? What brought you to UMBC?</h4>
    
    
    
    <p><strong>A:</strong>I came to UMBC in my sophomore year as a transfer student. Admittedly when I was accepted I toyed around with the idea of going to a variety of different schools, but eventually decided on UMBC for the price, and the relative vicinity to my home in northern Maryland.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Had I known then what I know now about the university’s programs, rigor, faculty, and opportunities, UMBC would have been a shoo-in. Ultimately, I am so grateful that I applied to, and attended UMBC.</p>
    
    
    
    <h4>Q: Tell us about the people who are helping you grow at UMBC, and why their HOW made such a difference to you.</h4>
    
    
    
    <p><strong>A: </strong>In addition to Professor Zhdanovych’s support with my Russian language and research, Professor <strong>RJ Joyce</strong> in computer science encouraged me to become invested in cybersecurity. It’s because of him that I’ve become involved in many of the clubs and organizations I am currently enrolled in. Such interest in security was able to earn me recipient status in UMBC’s Scholarship for Service cohort. </p>
    
    
    
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    <h4>Q: What clubs, teams, or organizations are you a part of? What do you love about them?</h4>
    
    
    
    <p><strong>A:</strong> First and foremost, I am a member of UMBC’s National Science Foundation-funded<a href="https://cybersecurity.umbc.edu/scholarship-for-service-sfs/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">CyberCorps: Scholarship of Service</a> (SFS). This program has allowed me to pursue my interest in security outside of the traditional academic venues. Thanks to SFS, I was able to attend and present at DEFCON 31 in Las Vegas, one of the largest cybersecurity conventions in the world [Photo: Wooddell, left, at DEFCON 31 with a fellow student]. </p>
    
    
    
    <p>I am also a member of the UMBC Cyberdawgs. I never miss an opportunity to compete in the annual competitions they hold on campus. Beyond this, I attend the bi-weekly Cyber Defense Lab meetings, which allow me to keep up to date with all sorts of security research projects being conducted on campus.</p>
    
    
    
    <h4>Q: Are you a student leader? Tell us about it! </h4>
    
    
    
    <p><strong>A:</strong> Through SFS, related organizations, and clubs on campus, I have been lucky enough to meet and work with some of the most amazing and intelligent people I have ever met. From these associated labs, clubs, and programs I have met and been influenced by more people than I could ever hope to list here.</p>
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    <img width="768" height="1024" src="https://umbc.edu/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/IMG_1864-Nathan-Wooddell-768x1024.jpg" alt="Two men (one is a Russian speaker) take a smiling selfie in front of a lot of lit up billboards in Las Vegas at a cybersecurity conference" style="max-width: 100%; height: auto;">
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    <p>I am incredibly honored to have been able to lead these organizations, as they have provided me with opportunities to give back to my university and community.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>* * * * *</p>
    
    
    
    <p><em>UMBC’s greatest strength is its people. When people meet Retrievers and hear about the passion they bring, the relationships they create, the ways they support each other, and the commitment they have to inclusive excellence, they truly get a sense of our community. That’s what “Meet a Retriever” is all about.</em></p>
    
    
    
    <p><a href="http://umbc.edu/how" rel="nofollow external" class="bo"><em>Learn more about how UMBC can help you achieve your goals.</em></a></p>
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<Summary>Meet Nathan Wooddell ’23, computer science. Nathan is a member of UMBC’s  CyberCorps: Scholarship for Service cohort, and is getting his master’s in cybersecurity as a graduate researcher at the...</Summary>
<Website>https://umbc.edu/stories/meet-a-retriever-wooddell-russian-cybersecurity/</Website>
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<Tag>russian</Tag>
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<NewsItem contentIssues="true" id="119450" important="false" status="posted" url="https://my3.my.umbc.edu/groups/coeit-news-events/posts/119450">
<Title>UMBC Responds to Putin&#8217;s War in Ukraine</Title>
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    <img width="150" height="150" src="https://umbc.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/pexels-mathias-pr-reding-11421332-150x150.webp" alt="" style="max-width: 100%; height: auto;">
    <p>On February 24, just one day after a Russian holiday celebrating the “defenders of the Fatherland,” Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered his military forces to invade Ukraine. The ensuing assault catalyzed a mass of destruction and action. </p>
    
    
    
    <p>In the classroom of Kyiv-born <strong>Vira Zhdanovych</strong>, an instructor of Russian at UMBC, students are using their language skills to take in information from different perspectives. Zhdanovych notes that both her students and colleagues from the Department of Modern Languages, Linguistics, and Intercultural Communication (MLLI) reached out to her during the first days of the invasion and have been extremely supportive since.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>“Like everyone, I have been very upset and confused by Putin’s invasion of Ukraine,” says Zhdanovych. “This was especially difficult for me because I am from Kyiv and have relatives who were forced to evacuate. Fortunately, my immediate family—my sister, niece and nephew—have made it out, though my brother-in-law remained behind to defend Kyiv. I also have many friends who are still in Kyiv and in surrounding areas and I worry about them each day.”</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Additional faces and voices of those impacted have since risen to the surface through several virtual UMBC town halls that highlight Ukrainian American voices as well as faculty experts on the region. </p>
    
    
    
    <h3><strong>UMBC professors and students share their expertise</strong></h3>
    
    
    
    <p>In the early weeks following the initial invasion, UMBC’s Center for Social Sciences Scholarship, History Department, and the Political Science Department hosted a <a href="https://my3.my.umbc.edu/groups/csss/events/103499" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">virtual discussion</a> about the history leading up to the current crisis, as well as the political and economic impacts that it is having today on surrounding countries and globally. Present at the panel were <strong>Devin Hagerty</strong> and <strong>Brian Grodsky</strong>, professors of political science and affiliate faculty in Asian studies, and <strong>Mirjam Voerkelius</strong>, assistant professor of history. Joining them were three undergraduate students who shared their personal experiences and reactions to the current climate in Ukraine.</p>
    
    
    
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    <a href="https://magazine.umbc.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/GlobalStudiesClass-9879.jpg" rel="nofollow external" class="bo"><img src="https://magazine.umbc.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/GlobalStudiesClass-9879-1024x684.jpg" alt="" style="max-width: 100%; height: auto;"></a><em>Hagerty (standing) teaching a global studies course. All photos by Marlayna Demond ’11, unless otherwise noted.</em>
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    <p><strong>Maria Kutishcheva ’24, political science and MLLI</strong>, shared that the conflict has had a devastating effect on her family. With relatives in both Ukraine and Russia, Kutishcheva talked about two sides of the crisis from a personal standpoint, mentioning the divisions that have been deepened by Russian propaganda. She ended her story on a compelling note: inaccurate portrayals of the war cannot keep up with reality, but Ukraine still needs our continued attention and support.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Although it can be difficult to absorb everything that has happened leading up to the crisis, the Retriever community is fortunate to have students and <a href="https://magazine.umbc.edu/settler-colonialism-helps-explain-current-events/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">faculty who can provide insight on the subject</a>. Many people, especially those with personal ties to the situation, have been deeply affected and wish to stay informed through their communities—a desire that was again met by UMBC’s second virtual discussion about <a href="https://my3.my.umbc.edu/groups/asianstudiesprogram/events/104128" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">Asia’s influence on the Russia-Ukraine War</a> in mid-March. </p>
    
    
    
    <p>Brian Carlson, head of the Global Security Team of the Think Tank at the Center for Security Studies, returning panelists Brian Grodsky and Devin Hagerty, and <strong>Meredith Oyen</strong>, associate professor of history and director of UMBC’s Asian studies program, led the discussion and helped answer attendees’ questions about global relations across Asia and Europe. Carlson opened up the discussion by describing Russia’s ties to China.</p>
    
    
    
    
    <a href="https://umbc.edu/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/lauren-mazzoli.jpg" rel="nofollow external" class="bo"><img src="https://magazine.umbc.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Meredith_Oyen_history_7468-681x1024.jpg" alt="" style="max-width: 100%; height: auto;"></a>Meredith Oyen
    
    
    
    <a href="https://umbc.edu/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/anna-johnson-profile.jpg" rel="nofollow external" class="bo"><img src="https://magazine.umbc.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Brian-Grodsky-9832-683x1024.jpg" alt="" style="max-width: 100%; height: auto;"></a>Brian Grodsky
    
    
    
    
    <p>“China has played an important, enabling role in Russia’s actions in Ukraine. China and Russia have built a close partnership based on a common desire to oppose the United States in aspects of the existing international order,” says Carlson. “In early February, just weeks before the invasion…they issued a joint declaration in which they said their partnership had no limits and there were no forbidden areas of cooperation.”</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Although, he adds, “China has probably been surprised by the ineptitude of the invasion and by the fierceness of the Ukrainian resistance.”</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Grodsky, the chair of the political science department, was next to share his expertise about Central Asia’s response, or lack thereof, to the Russian invasion of Ukraine. “Not surprisingly,” Grodsky notes, “Central Asia has been neutral in its reaction to the invasion. Russia expected a lot more support than it got, but this really reflects a long-standing foreign policy to balance stronger powers in the region.”</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Grodsky, expanding on an earlier article he wrote about <a href="https://magazine.umbc.edu/economic-sanctions-may-deal-fatal-blow-to-russias-already-weak-domestic-opposition/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">economic sanctions on Russia</a>, added that economic links were becoming more difficult for Central Asian countries to maintain with Russia. These sanctions, he stated, would likely lead to political instability in the region.</p>
    
    
    
    <h3><strong>Ongoing conversations provide support</strong></h3>
    
    
    
    <p>Broad conversations about geographic implications of the Russian military aggression combined with personal stories of Ukrainian displacement and resistance are ongoing and they won’t end soon. Students, staff, and faculty, including Zhdanovych and those present at the panels, are speaking from personal and <a href="https://magazine.umbc.edu/ukraine-conflict-brings-cybersecurity-risks-to-us-homes-businesses/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">informational standpoints</a> to put a face to the people who are struggling and fighting in Ukraine. But Zhdanovych points out that we also shouldn’t forget about those in Russia.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>“I think that it is important to emphasize that not all Russians—particularly those in the U.S.—support this invasion. I know many, many Russians in the greater community and do not know of one who supports this invasion. I think of this as Putin’s invasion of Ukraine, rather than Russia’s invasion,” Zhdanovych says.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>With this mindset moving forward, we can strive to build networks of support and to grow together as multiple communities all impacted by this crisis. Though the future ahead remains uncertain, there is strength in the voices and actions that stretch across and beyond UMBC.</p>
    
    
    
    <div><div>
    <p><strong>UMBC supports Ukrainians</strong>: <strong>If you’re interested in supporting Ukrainian students, scholars, and artists at risk, UMBC’s Center for Global Engagement recommends giving to an established organization, </strong><a href="https://www.iie.org/en/Donate/Give-Ukraine" rel="nofollow external" class="bo"><span><strong>like IIE</strong></span></a><strong><span>.</span>” In April, President Biden announced a new initiative to support Ukrainians. <a href="https://ukraine.welcome.us/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo"><span>Welcome.us</span></a>, an organization of which UMBC is a member, has created a new website that contains information about this initiative as well as various ways to help Ukrainians.</strong></p>
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    <p>******</p>
    
    
    
    <p><em>Header image: <a href="https://www.pexels.com/photo/large-group-of-people-holding-banner-on-supporting-ukraine-11421332/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">Photo on Pexel </a>by Mathias P.R. Reding</em></p>
    </div>
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<Summary>On February 24, just one day after a Russian holiday celebrating the “defenders of the Fatherland,” Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered his military forces to invade Ukraine. The ensuing...</Summary>
<Website>https://umbc.edu/stories/umbc-responds-to-putins-war-in-ukraine/</Website>
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<NewsItem contentIssues="true" id="119469" important="false" status="posted" url="https://my3.my.umbc.edu/groups/coeit-news-events/posts/119469">
<Title>Economic Sanctions May Deal Fatal Blow to Russia&#8217;s Already-Weak Domestic Opposition</Title>
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    <p><em>By <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/brian-grodsky-300025" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">Brian Grodsky</a>, professor, Political Science, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-maryland-baltimore-county-1667" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">UMBC</a></em></p>
    
    
    
    <p>The West has responded to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine by imposing <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2022/02/25/business/list-global-sanctions-russia-ukraine-war-intl-hnk/index.html" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">harsh economic sanctions</a>.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Most consequentially, <a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/eu-excludes-seven-russian-banks-swift-official-journal-2022-03-02/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">key Russian banks</a> have been <a href="https://theconversation.com/us-eu-sanctions-will-pummel-the-russian-economy-two-experts-explain-why-they-are-likely-to-stick-and-sting-177896" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">cut out of the SWIFT payments messaging system</a>, making financial transactions much more difficult. The United States, European Union and others also moved to <a href="https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/the-russian-central-bank-is-running-out-of-options/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">freeze Russian Central Bank reserves</a>. And U.S. President Joe Biden <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-04/white-house-considering-ban-on-russian-oil-imports-to-u-s" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">is weighing a total ban</a> on Russian oil imports.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>These sanctions are aimed at generating opposition from both Russian President Vladimir Putin’s inner circle and everyday Russians. As a <a href="https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=rmM1mc0AAAAJ&amp;hl=en&amp;oi=ao" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">scholar who studies regime change</a>, I believe the risk is that they will actually drive the Kremlin’s weak opposition further into obscurity.</p>
    
    
    
    <h2>A ‘punishment logic’</h2>
    
    
    
    <p>Economic sanctions follow a “<a href="https://search.proquest.com/openview/c5672b666d7a3563d39b83cfba770648/1?pq-origsite=gscholar&amp;cbl=18750&amp;diss=y" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">punishment logic</a>”: Those feeling economic pain are expected to rise up against their political leaders and demand a change in policies.</p>
    
    
    
    <p><a href="https://theconversation.com/ordinary-russians-are-already-feeling-the-economic-pain-of-sanctions-over-ukraine-invasion-178126" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">Everyday Russians</a> have already felt the pain from the newest sanctions. The <a href="https://www.rferl.org/a/russian-ukraine-invasion-markets-rocked/31721219.html" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">ruble plummeted</a> in value, and Russia’s <a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/global-markets-wrapup-2-2022-02-28/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">stock market dipped</a>. The effects of Western sanctions were seen in the <a href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/russians-line-up-at-banks-as-currency-plummets-in-face-of-sanctions" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">long lines at ATMs</a> as Russians tried to pull out their cash before it was lost.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>But the odds of an uprising are not great. Empirical research suggests that sanctions <a href="https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2015.25" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">rarely generate the sorts of damage that compel their targets to back down</a>. Their greatest chance of success is when they are used <a href="https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/8/1/2" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">against democratic states</a>, where opposition elites can mobilize the public against them.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>In authoritarian regimes like Putin’s, where average citizens are the most <a href="https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/ethics-and-international-affairs/article/abs/political-effectiveness-negative-externalities-and-the-ethics-of-economic-sanctions/6CA0DE1E1955F036ED94F9BBB75F2A3D" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">likely to suffer</a>, sanctions usually do more to hurt the opposition than help it.</p>
    
    
    
    <div>
    <img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/450120/original/file-20220304-23-106eev5.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt="A man stands behind bars in a prison with his right hand on one of the bars" style="max-width: 100%; height: auto;"><em>Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny has been behind bars since early 2021. <a href="https://newsroom.ap.org/detail/RussiaNavalny/c4568f5ecc2a4576931d0528f2f96594/photo?Query=navalny&amp;mediaType=photo&amp;sortBy=creationdatetime:desc&amp;dateRange=Anytime&amp;totalCount=2792&amp;currentItemNo=6" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">AP Photo/Denis Kaminev</a></em>
    </div>
    
    
    
    <h2>How Putin has quelled dissent</h2>
    
    
    
    <p>Putin has used a variety of tools to try to quell domestic opposition over the past two decades.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Some of these were subtle, such as <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2013/01/03/world/europe/putin-orders-new-system-for-russian-parliamentary-elections.html" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">tweaking the electoral system</a> in ways that benefit his party. Others were less so, including instituting <a href="https://brill.com/view/journals/rupo/6/1/article-p6_2.xml" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">constitutional changes</a> that allow him to serve as president for years to come.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>But Putin has not stopped at legislative measures. He has long been accused of murdering rivals, both <a href="https://www.dw.com/en/boris-nemtsov-the-man-who-dared-to-criticize-vladimir-putin/a-52561085" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">at home</a> and <a href="https://www.npr.org/2021/09/21/1039224996/russia-alexander-litvinenko-european-court-human-rights-putin" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">abroad</a>. Most recently, Putin has <a href="https://apnews.com/article/europe-russia-laws-government-and-politics-1ba4f28c2436a5e44396f3d96eb9812d" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">criminalized organizations</a> tied to the opposition and has imprisoned their leader, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/15/world/europe/alexsei-navalny-russia-court.html" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">Alexei Navalny</a>, who <a href="https://www.dw.com/en/navalny-poisoning-russia-made-second-assassination-attempt-report/a-55921189" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">was the target of two assassination attempts</a>.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Despite a <a href="https://osce.usmission.gov/on-continued-crackdown-on-civil-society-in-russia/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">clampdown on activism</a>, Russians have repeatedly proved willing to take to the streets to make their voices heard. Thousands demonstrated in the summer and fall of 2020 to <a href="https://www.hrw.org/news/2020/10/14/russia-far-east-peaceful-protester-facing-prosecution" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">support a governor</a> in the Far East who had beaten Putin’s pick for the position only to be arrested, ostensibly for a murder a decade and a half earlier. Thousands more came out last spring to protest against <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-56834655" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">Navalny’s detention</a>.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Putin has even begun facing challenges from traditionally subservient political parties, such as the <a href="https://www.economist.com/europe/2021/10/30/russias-once-tame-communist-party-is-becoming-an-opposition-force" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">Communist Party</a> and the nationalist <a href="https://www.rferl.org/a/moscow-scrambles-for-a-response-as-protests-rock-russia-far-east/30733192.html" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">Liberal Democratic Party</a>.</p>
    
    
    
    <h2>Flickers of opposition</h2>
    
    
    
    <p>Importantly, Putin has occasionally shown a willingness to back down and <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-45389797" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">change his policies</a> under pressure. In other words, as much as Putin has limited democracy in Russia, opposition has continued to bubble up.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>The result is a president who feels compelled to win over at least a portion of his domestic audience. This was clear in the <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/02/21/putin-speech-ukraine/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">impassioned address</a> Putin made to the nation setting the stage for war. The fiery hourlong speech falsely <a href="https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2022/02/22/rewriting-history-putin-pitches-russia-as-defender-of-an-expanding-motherland-a76518" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">accused Ukrainians of genocide</a> against ethnic Russians in eastern Ukraine. “How long can this tragedy continue? How much longer can we put up with this?” Putin <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/extracts-putins-speech-ukraine-2022-02-21/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">asked his nation</a>.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Since Russia invaded Ukraine, Russians have continued to show their willingness to stand up to Putin. Thousands have gathered to <a href="https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20220302-russian-anti-war-movement-takes-shape-on-the-streets-%E2%80%93-and-on-screens" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">protest the war in Ukraine</a>, despite risking large fines and jail time.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>They have been aided by a network of <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-03-03/hacktivists-are-piercing-russia-s-propaganda-bubble" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">“hacktivists”</a> outside Russia using a variety of tactics to overcome the Kremlin’s mighty propaganda machine. These groups have <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/volunteer-hackers-join-ukraines-fight-against-russia-11646082782" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">blocked Russian government agencies</a> and <a href="https://www.thedailybeast.com/tass-site-hacked-with-putin-makes-us-lie-message" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">state news outlets</a> from spreading false narratives.</p>
    
    
    
    <h2>Controlling the narrative</h2>
    
    
    
    <p>Despite these public showings, the liberal opposition to Putin is undoubtedly weak. In part, this is because Putin controls state television, which nearly <a href="https://www.rferl.org/a/russians-social-media/31119666.html" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">two-thirds of Russians</a> watch for their daily news. Going into this war, <a href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/putins-public-approval-soared-as-russia-prepared-to-attack-ukraine-history-shows-its-unlikely-to-last" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">half of Russians blamed the U.S. and NATO</a> for the increase in tensions, with only 4% holding Russia responsible.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>This narrative could be challenged by the large number of Russians – 40% – who get their information from <a href="https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2021/02/23/russians-increasingly-get-their-news-from-social-media-internet-poll-a73039" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">social media</a>. But the Kremlin has a long track record of operating in this space, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2021/03/12/russia-social-media-putin-opposition/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">intimidating tech companies</a> and <a href="https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR2200/RR2237/RAND_RR2237.pdf" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">spreading false stories</a> that back the government line. Just on Friday state authorities said they would <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/03/04/russia-ukraine-war-putin-news/#link-3F2KMNG6VRHA5BT22AUTFBQ6SA" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">block access to Facebook</a>, which around <a href="https://www.npr.org/2022/02/26/1083291122/russia-ukraine-facebook-google-youtube-twitter" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">9% of Russians</a> use.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Putin has already shown he can use his information machine to convert past Western sanctions into advantage. After the West sanctioned Russia for its 2014 takeover of Crimea, Putin deflected <a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0010414018806530?casa_token=-4vjxhRK1pEAAAAA%3AFCiI01XZ-KoLmZt29PVVEL7CAR6sBLLuK1EN6XvbxDPo5a3SU6ZkSVBiEJdWqjTl2tK_QB6EPyY" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">blame for Russians’ economic pain</a> from himself to foreign powers. The result may have fallen short of the classic “<a href="https://www.doi.org/10.1111/1475-6765.12065" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">rally around the flag</a>” phenomenon, but on balance Putin <a href="https://www.doi.org/10.1177/0022343319866879" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">gained politically</a> from his first grab on Ukraine. More forceful economic sanctions this time around may unleash a broader wave of nationalism.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>More importantly, sanctions have a long track record of <a href="https://www.doi.org/10.1007/s11127-018-00628-6" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">weakening political freedoms</a> in the target state. As the situation in Russia continues to deteriorate, Putin will likely <a href="https://www.doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2010.502436" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">crack down further</a> to <a href="https://www.doi.org/10.1177/1065912920941596" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">stamp out any signs of dissent</a>.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>And former Russian president Dmitry Medvedev reacted to the country’s expulsion from the Council of Europe by suggesting Russia might <a href="https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/russian-official-issues-stark-threats-west-83126363" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">go back on its human rights promises</a>.</p>
    
    
    
    <div>
    <img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/450121/original/file-20220304-15-ydmv0d.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt="Male and female reporters work at desks in a large newsroom, some sitting, some standing, as viewed from ceiling height" style="max-width: 100%; height: auto;"><em>Authorities blocked access to the website of Russian TV channel Dozhd, and the chief editor has fled the country. <a href="https://newsroom.ap.org/detail/RussiaMedia/b56e84fbb546446a86e062d0bc237542/photo?Query=dozhd&amp;mediaType=photo&amp;sortBy=creationdatetime:desc&amp;dateRange=Anytime&amp;totalCount=70&amp;currentItemNo=5" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">AP Photo/Denis Kaminev</a></em>
    </div>
    
    
    
    <h2>Another casualty of the war</h2>
    
    
    
    <p>This has already begun.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>In the first week of the war, Russian authorities <a href="https://www.cnn.com/videos/world/2022/03/03/woman-anti-war-protester-arrested-russia-lon-orig-na.cnn" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">arrested more than 7,000</a> protesters. They <a href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/03/02/russia-media-ukraine-tvrain-echo/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">ramped up censorship</a> and closed down a longtime icon of liberal media, the <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russian-prosecutors-demand-restricted-access-radio-station-tv-2022-03-01/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">Ekho Moskvy</a> radio station. The editor of Russia’s last independent TV station, TV Dozhd, also announced he was <a href="https://www.rferl.org/a/dozhd-dzyadko-flees-russia/31732584.html" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">fleeing the country</a>.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Russia already ranked near the bottom – 150 out of 180 – in the latest <a href="https://rsf.org/en/russia" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">Reporters Without Borders</a> assessment of media freedom. And a new law, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/03/04/world/russia-ukraine/russia-facebook-ukraine" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">passed on March 4, 2022</a>, punishes the spread of “false information” about Russia’s armed forces with up to 15 years in jail.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Ironically, then, the very sanctions that encourage Russians to attack the regime also <a href="https://www.jstor.org/stable/27638645" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">narrow their available opportunities</a> to do so.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Ultimately, the opposition seen on the streets in Russia today and perhaps in the coming weeks may be the greatest show of strength that can be expected in the near future.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>The West may have better luck using <a href="https://www.doi.org/10.1080/714005349" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">targeted sanctions</a> against those in Putin’s inner circle, including Russia’s <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/f014aa1e-69be-4c54-8973-e428c970fc0d" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">infamous oligarchs</a>. But with their assets hidden in <a href="https://www.axios.com/russia-putin-ukraine-oligarchs-sanctions-money-1cbf1ea2-305b-4358-86b8-29845f8dbae1.html" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">various pots around the world</a>, severely hurting these actors may prove difficult.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Even in the best of circumstances, economic sanctions <a href="https://www.doi.org/10.1177/106591290005300202" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">can take years</a> to have their desired effect. For Ukrainians, fighting a brutal and one-sided war, the sanctions are unlikely to help beyond bolstering morale.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>The danger is that these sanctions may also make average Russians another casualty in Putin’s war.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>*****</p>
    
    
    
    <p><em>Header image: Russian police have detained thousands of Russians who have taken to the streets to protest the invasion of Ukraine.<a href="https://newsroom.ap.org/detail/APTOPIXRussiaUkraineWar/c227fc3016ae4f49b093c766dec3c7f4/photo?Query=russia%20protests%20moscow&amp;mediaType=photo&amp;sortBy=creationdatetime:desc&amp;dateRange=Anytime&amp;totalCount=5576&amp;currentItemNo=7" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">AP Photo/Dmitri Lovetsky</a></em></p>
    
    
    
    <p><a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/brian-grodsky-300025" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">Brian Grodsky</a>, Professor of Political Science, <em><a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-maryland-baltimore-county-1667" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">University of Maryland, Baltimore County</a></em></p>
    
    
    
    <p>This article is republished from <a href="https://theconversation.com" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/economic-sanctions-may-deal-fatal-blow-to-russias-already-weak-domestic-opposition-178274" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">original article</a>.</p>
    </div>
]]>
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<Summary>By Brian Grodsky, professor, Political Science, UMBC      The West has responded to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine by imposing harsh economic sanctions.      Most consequentially, key Russian banks...</Summary>
<Website>https://umbc.edu/stories/economic-sanctions-may-deal-fatal-blow-to-russias-already-weak-domestic-opposition/</Website>
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<PostedAt>Mon, 07 Mar 2022 15:27:36 -0500</PostedAt>
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