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<NewsItem contentIssues="false" id="125954" important="false" status="posted" url="https://my3.my.umbc.edu/posts/125954">
<Title>roommate needed</Title>
<Body>
<![CDATA[
    <div class="html-content">
    <p><span>Hi everyone !</span></p>
    <p><span>My name is Divine, and I am an incoming freshman. I am looking for another female student attending UMBC who is interested in sharing a 2 bedroom apartment with me(long-term lease). I am currently interested in an apartment near campus. Please let me know if you are interested because I am looking to move in mid or end of July for the upcoming fall 2022 semester.</span></p>
    <p><br></p>
    <p><span>Please send me an email at <a href="mailto:divineo1@umbc.edu" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">divineo1@umbc.edu</a> if interested.</span></p>
    <p><br></p>
    <p><span>Thanks</span></p>
    <p><span><br></span></p>
    <p><span>Divine Obidike</span></p>
    </div>
]]>
</Body>
<Summary>Hi everyone !  My name is Divine, and I am an incoming freshman. I am looking for another female student attending UMBC who is interested in sharing a 2 bedroom apartment with me(long-term lease)....</Summary>
<Website>https://forms.gle/xV7pfJmwx1cofLkH8</Website>
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<PostedAt>Sun, 19 Jun 2022 20:38:47 -0400</PostedAt>
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<NewsItem contentIssues="false" id="125953" important="false" status="posted" url="https://my3.my.umbc.edu/posts/125953">
<Title>Looking for a male roommate</Title>
<Tagline>Male roommate needed</Tagline>
<Body>
<![CDATA[
    <div class="html-content">I'm looking for a male roommate to occupy a two bedroom apartment / 1.5 bathroom, looking to move around July or August ,  here is the apartment info <div>
    <a href="https://signatureprops.net/properties/queens-ridge-apartments/">https://signatureprops.net/properties/queens-ridge-apartments/</a> </div>
    <div>10 mins away from UMBC</div>
    <div>contact me at 2404780724 if interested. bills will be split half way utilities included.</div>
    <div>The rent will be 765 + utilities </div>
    </div>
]]>
</Body>
<Summary>I'm looking for a male roommate to occupy a two bedroom apartment / 1.5 bathroom, looking to move around July or August ,  here is the apartment info ...</Summary>
<Website>https://signatureprops.net/properties/queens-ridge-apartments/</Website>
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<PostedAt>Sun, 19 Jun 2022 09:54:29 -0400</PostedAt>
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<NewsItem contentIssues="true" id="125952" important="false" status="posted" url="https://my3.my.umbc.edu/posts/125952">
<Title>Sofa &amp; Love Seat Chair</Title>
<Tagline>Living Room Set For Sale $$ 750</Tagline>
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    <img src="https://my3.my.umbc.edu/system/shared/attachments/news/000/125/952/a8c050c6bab28905e51668a676fcad9d/Sofa.jpeg" style="max-width: 100%; height: auto;"><img src="https://my3.my.umbc.edu/system/shared/attachments/news/000/125/952/cea735b5027e1808f8c3960cc30a7210/Love%20Seat%20Chair.jpeg" style="max-width: 100%; height: auto;"><img src="https://my3.my.umbc.edu/groups/classifieds/posts/125952/attachments/43653" style="max-width: 100%; height: auto;"><img src="https://my3.my.umbc.edu/groups/classifieds/posts/125952/attachments/43653" style="max-width: 100%; height: auto;"><img src="https://my3.my.umbc.edu/groups/classifieds/posts/125952/attachments/43654" style="max-width: 100%; height: auto;"><img src="https://my3.my.umbc.edu/groups/classifieds/posts/125952/attachments/43654" style="max-width: 100%; height: auto;">2-piece sofa and loveseat chair for sale. Great Condition.<div>Must pick up!</div>
    </div>
]]>
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<Summary>2-piece sofa and loveseat chair for sale. Great Condition. Must pick up!</Summary>
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<PostedAt>Sat, 18 Jun 2022 21:38:17 -0400</PostedAt>
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<NewsItem contentIssues="false" id="125951" important="false" status="posted" url="https://my3.my.umbc.edu/posts/125951">
<Title>Roommate(s) Needed</Title>
<Body>
<![CDATA[
    <div class="html-content">Hello,<div><br></div>
    <div>I am in need of a roommate before the first week of July. I live in the Westland Gardens townhouses off Maiden Choice Ln which are less than 5 minutes from UMBC, and right next to Weis, Highs, Walgreens, some restaurants, dry cleaners, and Giant. </div>
    <div><br></div>
    <div>The room is very spacious with a walk-in closet. Bathroom on top floor, kitchen with sink and gas stove on main floor. Shared living room, kitchen, and basement. Basement has spare toilet with washer and dryer. Backdoor in basement leads to backyard, a small grassy square.</div>
    <div><br></div>
    <div>Rent is $640/month, plus electricity and internet (split between the two of us). However, if you know a friend or someone else interested in a living space, the basement can also be a bedroom. There is a comfy pull-out couch with sheets and a six-outlet converter nearby. Rent could be split three ways which would do everyone a favor.</div>
    <div><br></div>
    <div>I am a music student so my room / entire home is often filled with loud music and friends / clients who I work with to make professional music.</div>
    <div><br></div>
    <div>You can email me at </div>
    <div>
    <a href="mailto:samuelc1@umbc.edu">samuelc1@umbc.edu</a> OR <a href="mailto:sam7cush@gmail.com">sam7cush@gmail.com</a>
    </div>
    <div>Or text at 2024001410.</div>
    <div><br></div>
    <div>Re "Roommate Needed Post"</div>
    <div><br></div>
    <div>Thanks!</div>
    </div>
]]>
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<Summary>Hello,    I am in need of a roommate before the first week of July. I live in the Westland Gardens townhouses off Maiden Choice Ln which are less than 5 minutes from UMBC, and right next to Weis,...</Summary>
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<PostedAt>Sat, 18 Jun 2022 12:25:31 -0400</PostedAt>
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<NewsItem contentIssues="false" id="125947" important="false" status="posted" url="https://my3.my.umbc.edu/posts/125947">
<Title>Looking for an apartment</Title>
<Tagline>Room Needed close to Campus</Tagline>
<Body>
<![CDATA[
    <div class="html-content">Hi everyone !<div><br></div>
    <div>My name is Oyelekan, and I am an incoming Grad student. I am looking for an available<strong> full furnished, clean and quiet 2 bedroom apartment</strong> to share with someone else, male preferred (long-term lease). <strong>I am interested in an apartment near campus. </strong>
    </div>
    <div><br></div>
    <div>I don't smoke or drink. I'm loving, friendly and peaceful. <strong>I will appreciate someone with similar qualities.</strong>
    </div>
    <div><br></div>
    <div>I am looking to move in early/mid July. Let me know if you are interested.</div>
    <div><br></div>
    <div><strong>My budget is between $400 – $500 plus shared utilities.</strong></div>
    <div><br></div>
    <div><br></div>
    <div>Please send me an email at <strong><a href="mailto:oajiboy1@umbc.edu">oajiboy1@umbc.edu</a></strong> if interested.</div>
    <div><br></div>
    <div><br></div>
    <div>Thanks</div>
    <div>Oyelekan Emmanuel Ajiboye</div>
    </div>
]]>
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<Summary>Hi everyone !    My name is Oyelekan, and I am an incoming Grad student. I am looking for an available full furnished, clean and quiet 2 bedroom apartment to share with someone else, male...</Summary>
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<NewsItem contentIssues="true" id="125946" important="false" status="posted" url="https://my3.my.umbc.edu/posts/125946">
<Title>CBEE students sweep IFPAC 2022 student poster presentations</Title>
<Body>
<![CDATA[
    <div class="html-content">
    <p>IFPAC has been leading the way in Advanced Manufacturing Science for over 35 years. </p>
    <p>There annual conference 'IFPAC 2022' focusong on Process Analytical Technology and Process Analysis &amp; Control was held June 12-15, 2022 in North Bethesda, MD and attended by more than 400 people. </p>
    <p><strong>Dr. Govind Rao, </strong><em>Center for Advanced Sensor Technology, and Department of Chemical, Biochemical and Environmental Engineering,</em> gave a keynote address at the Opening Plenary session on June 13 titled 'Disruptive Innovation in Healthcare: Towards a more Just, Equitable, Diverse and Inclusive World".</p>
    <p>Many students presented their research during two poster sessions. UMBC graduate students mentored by CBEE faculty swept the placements for the best student poster presentations. </p>
    <p><strong>1st place: </strong></p>
    <ul><li>
    <strong> </strong><strong>Shayan Borhani</strong>, <em>Chemical and Biochemical Engineering, PhD</em> </li></ul>
    <p><strong>2nd place: </strong></p>
    <ul><li>
    <strong>Md Sadique Hasan</strong>, <em>Computer Science and Electrical Engineering, PhD </em>
    </li></ul>
    <p><strong>3rd place winners: </strong></p>
    <ul>
    <li>
    <strong>Vida Rahmatnejad, </strong><em>Chemical and Biochemical Engineering, PhD</em> </li>
    <li>
    <strong>Vikash Kumar</strong>, <em>Chemical and Biochemical Engineering, PhD</em> </li>
    </ul>
    
    <p><br></p>
    <h3>Titles and Abstracts from the winning posters</h3>
    <h4>Shayan Borhani - 1st place</h4>
    <p><strong>Title: </strong>Manufacturing therapeutics at the point-of-care using cell-free systems</p>
    <p><strong>Abstract</strong></p>
    <p>Point-of-care (POC) technologies have brought medical diagnostics and treatments to patients who would otherwise go without medical care. Currently, POC technologies are mainly focused on medical diagnostics such as COVID-19 antigen test kits and little investment has been made to manufacture therapeutics at the POC. Additionally, COVID-19 has highlighted the genuine utility of POC technologies, by displaying the urgency of providing medicines in pandemic hot-spots. For this reason, a distributed manufacturing platform which seeks to produce therapeutics is essential to address future pandemic preparedness. Here, we report the utility of cell-free protein synthesis (CFPS) coupled with a POC manufacturing platform (BioMOD), capable of expression and purification of a variety of therapeutics ranging from monoclonal antibodies to insulin. Specifically, CFPS systems have emerged as an ideal methodology at the POC since they provide a rapid, scalable, and versatile platform for synthesizing a wide variety of proteins. Moreover, the capacity for CFPS components to be lyophilized and subsequently hydrated to synthesize novel proteins allows them to be readily stored and shipped to the POC for localized viral outbreaks or other medical needs. With recent advances in microfluidics, these products can then be rapidly purified in continuously automated purification processes, generating a final product within hours. To this end, we have selected the known broad-spectrum antiviral lectin, Griffithsin (GRFT), and recombinant human insulin as ideal candidates to pilot the BioMOD system.</p>
    <h4>Md Sadique Hasan - 2nd place</h4>
    <p><strong>Title: </strong>Rapid, ultrasensitive and high throughput method and instrumentation for bioburden detection</p>
    <p><strong>Abstract</strong></p>
    <p>A lengthy culturing procedure is often required to detect bioburden. To increase the rate of detection and decrease the limit of detection (LOD), a multichannel fluorometer has been developed using low-cost electronics and is suited for field applications with microfluidic cassettes. Multiple samples can be tested at the same time with LOD of as low as &lt;1 CFU/mL with 6 hours of incubation. This low-cost system detects and reports the fluorescence signal intensity of an indicator dye in the presence of bacterial contamination. The redox indicator dye resazurin is used which in the presence of viable cells is reduced to resorufin which has a particular emission wavelength and the fluorometer circuitry is configured to pick up the fluorescence emission. We validated the method using primary E. coli culture in comparison with a spectrophotometer which served as the gold standard. The assay was optimized and the impact of incubation and filtration steps on the assay sensitivity was also explored. Data analysis showed that multichannel fluorometers performed similarly to the conventional plate readers. This system is well suited to detect low-level bioburden in the laboratory, pharmaceutical, and field settings due to its portability, low cost, simplicity of operation, and specific assay sensitivity.</p>
    <h4>Vida Rahmatnejad - 3rd place</h4>
    <p><strong>Title: </strong>Noninvasive Application of Dissolved Carbon Dioxide and Glucose Sensors in Cell Culture</p>
    <p><strong>Abstract</strong></p>
    <p>Abstract: High levels of CO2 are toxic to cell culture such that it acts as an inhibitory factor affecting cell metabolism. In addition, glucose is the most important supporting factor in rapid proliferation of cells since it is the main nutrient used by the cells. Despite the fact that CO2 and glucose play a major role in cell culture condition, small-scale cell culture studies in academia as well as in industry are currently conducted in single-use vessels which are not equipped with systems monitoring the aforementioned factors. As a result, findings from small-scale cell culture studies are not as useful from an analytical point of view. This fact makes these kinds of experiments less repeatable and reliable. The Center for Advanced Sensor Technology has developed sensors for dissolved carbon dioxide (DCO2) and glucose to monitor the cell culture environment. These sensors are suitable for various kinds of bioreactors because of their low profile. Currently, the CO2 sensor is integrated with the T flask (featuring a sampler mounted outside of the vessel). The evaluation of the noninvasive monitoring system for DCO2 shows promising results. In future work, standard cell culture flasks equipped with sensors for DCO2, and glucose will provide continuous monitoring. Application of these sensors will improve the understanding of the small-scale cell culture microenvironment and provide real-time information on the nutrients and metabolites. The analytical data from monitoring system will be used to interpret the effect of microenvironmental conditions on cell behavior.</p>
    <h4>Vikash Kumar - 3rd place</h4>
    <p><strong>Title: </strong>High yield flexi flask for next-generation integrative and sustainable bioprocessing</p>
    <p><strong>Abstract: </strong>Shake flasks cultivation is a routine technique for bioprocess development in both prokaryotic and higher-order eukaryotic cell cultures. The material cost and human capital in the shake flask studies are much less than their bioreactor counterparts. More than 90% of the cell culture activities in both industries and academia are performed in shake flasks. However, oxygen deficiency and carbon dioxide accumulation in high-density cultures have been persistent issues. Both hypoxic conditions and carbon dioxide accumulation have been associated with growth inhibition, metabolic changes, and poor recombinant yield. In this work, we have tried to address this issue by proposing a selectively permeable walled flask called Flexi flask. These flasks are made of a proprietary silicone-based membrane imprinted on a polycarbonate exoskeleton. The membrane is selectively permeable to both Oxygen and Carbon Dioxide. Oxygen permeation allows for an adequate supply of oxygen for the aerobic culture, and carbon dioxide permeation ensures less accumulation of carbon dioxide in the culture system. Mass transfer studies conducted with the Flexi flasks suggested a 100% improvement in KLa over a disposable polycarbonate shake flask. Increased KLa allowed for a 33% improvement in power consumption per unit volume. A 56% increment in cell mass with E. coli and over 40% increment with Pichia Pastoris was observed. Permeable membranes allowed for the non-invasive integration of dissolved oxygen and carbon dioxide sensing in the flasks. Further, silicone enables a degree of flexibility to the flask. Unlike polycarbonate, silicone is not toxic to aquatic or soil organisms, it is not hazardous, and while not biodegradable, it can be recycled after a lifetime of use. Apart from benefiting from a higher yield and low power cost in the Flexi flask, the physical and chemical attributes of these flasks are in line with the sustainable goals of the bioprocessing industry.</p>
    <p><br></p>
    <p><em>Photo credit: Dr. Govind Rao. Left to Right - Vikash Kumar, Dr. Govind Rao, Shayan Borhani, Dr. Antonio Moreira, Md Sadique Hasan, Vida Rahmatnejad, Joel Tyson</em></p>
    </div>
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<Summary>IFPAC has been leading the way in Advanced Manufacturing Science for over 35 years.   There annual conference 'IFPAC 2022' focusong on Process Analytical Technology and Process Analysis &amp;...</Summary>
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<NewsItem contentIssues="false" id="125945" important="false" status="posted" url="https://my3.my.umbc.edu/posts/125945">
<Title>roommate needed</Title>
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<![CDATA[
    <div class="html-content">
    <p><span>Hi everyone !</span></p>
    <p><span>My name is Divine, and I am an incoming freshman. I am looking for another female student attending UMBC who is interested in sharing a 2 bedroom apartment with me(long-term lease). I am currently interested in an apartment near campus/transportation. Please let me know if you are interested because I am looking to move in mid or end of July for the upcoming fall 2022 semester.</span></p>
    <p><br></p>
    <p><span>Please send me an email at <a href="mailto:divineo1@umbc.edu" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">divineo1@umbc.edu</a> if interested.</span></p>
    <p><br></p>
    <p><span>Thanks</span></p>
    <p><span><br></span></p>
    <p><span>Divine Obidike</span></p>
    </div>
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<Summary>Hi everyone !  My name is Divine, and I am an incoming freshman. I am looking for another female student attending UMBC who is interested in sharing a 2 bedroom apartment with me(long-term lease)....</Summary>
<Website>https://forms.gle/xV7pfJmwx1cofLkH8</Website>
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<NewsItem contentIssues="false" id="125944" important="false" status="posted" url="https://my3.my.umbc.edu/posts/125944">
<Title>Baltimore Symphony Orchestra Seeks Digital Marketing Manager</Title>
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<![CDATA[
    <div class="html-content"><p>The Baltimore Symphony Orchestra seeks a Digital Marketing Manager who will report to the Senior Director of Marketing.</p></div>
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<Summary>The Baltimore Symphony Orchestra seeks a Digital Marketing Manager who will report to the Senior Director of Marketing.</Summary>
<Website>https://www.baltimoreculture.org/programs/jobsplus/31810</Website>
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<Tag>opportunities</Tag>
<Tag>organizations</Tag>
<Tag>positions</Tag>
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<NewsItem contentIssues="false" id="125942" important="false" status="posted" url="https://my3.my.umbc.edu/posts/125942">
<Title>Trump-endorsed candidates would generally win even without his support &#8211; and that&#8217;s usually the case with all political endorsements</Title>
<Body>
<![CDATA[
    <div class="html-content">
    <img width="150" height="150" src="https://umbc.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Ian-Anson-Conversation-article-2022-e1655484272855-150x150.jpg" alt="Two people dresses in suits shake hands." style="max-width: 100%; height: auto;">
    <p><em><a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/ian-anson-293805" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">Ian Anson</a>, Associate Professor of Political Science, <a href="https://umbc.edu/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">UMBC</a>.</em></p>
    
    
    
    <p>Over the past few months, many <a href="https://www.npr.org/2022/05/04/1096589956/indiana-ohio-primaries-what-happened-takeaways-vance-trump" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">journalists and pundits</a> have <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/04/28/trump-may-endorsements-status/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">credited</a> the <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-endorsement-success-rate-average-performance-vote-percentage-gop-primaries-2022-5" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">power</a> of Donald Trump’s endorsements with determining the winners of Republican primaries.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Trump has made <a href="https://ballotpedia.org/Endorsements_by_Donald_Trump" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">203 candidate endorsements</a> in the 2022 election cycle so far, targeting state, congressional, gubernatorial and even <a href="https://www.star-telegram.com/opinion/ryanjrusak/article256799582.html" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">local</a> races.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Based on the numbers alone, receiving a “Trump bump” seems like a surefire way to win an election. So far, <a href="https://ballotpedia.org/Endorsements_by_Donald_Trump#Regular_endorsements" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">94% of Trump’s favored candidates</a> have won their Republican primaries.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>But as a political scientist who <a href="https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=RG_vffMAAAAJ&amp;hl=en" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">studies</a> voting and public opinion, I have my doubts about the true power of Trump’s endorsements. Instead, it is more likely that most of the candidates Trump has chosen to endorse were already on track to win their respective races.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Political science says that <a href="http://boudreau.ucdavis.edu/uploads/9/2/1/3/92138496/boudreau_oxford_handbook_2018.pdf" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">endorsements do occasionally matter</a> for determining election outcomes. But in most cases, their effects are far <a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/1065912915595882" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">less potent</a> than commentators might expect.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>This is because endorsements are not made in a vacuum. Much like the endorsements of interest groups and political parties, the so-called “Trump bump” is mostly a reflection of the attributes a candidate already had before the endorsement.</p>
    
    
    
    <h2>Backing the winners</h2>
    
    
    
    <p>Candidates’ electoral fortunes mostly stem from <a href="http://boudreau.ucdavis.edu/uploads/9/2/1/3/92138496/boudreau_oxford_handbook_2018.pdf" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">whether they’re incumbents, which political party they belong to, their ideology and their political savvy</a>. In turn, these attributes also determine <a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/1065912915595882" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">who gets endorsed</a> by prominent groups and people.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>For this reason, Trump’s endorsements are an excellent lesson in what scholars call “<a href="https://dictionary.apa.org/reverse-causality" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">reverse causality</a>.” This is what happens when people mistake a phenomenon’s effects for its cause, like thinking that people holding umbrellas have caused it to rain. In this case, reverse causality implies that Trump’s favorite candidates are not more likely to win because of his endorsement.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>To be sure, candidate endorsements can act as <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2009.00399.x" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">valuable cues</a> for voters seeking to make informed decisions. Voters might think to themselves, “If this person, whom I trust and like, supports a candidate, then I should trust and like the candidate too.” This is especially true in elections in which little is known about the contenders.</p>
    
    
    
    <a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/468553/original/file-20220613-22-hu4he2.jpeg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip" rel="nofollow external" class="bo"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/468553/original/file-20220613-22-hu4he2.jpeg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt="A man with gray hair wearing a blazer at a campaign rally with signs held behind him. Candidates." style="max-width: 100%; height: auto;"></a>Trump endorsed former Sen. David Purdue, seen here, in the 2022 GOP primary for governor in Georgia. But the incumbent, Brian Kemp, won the nomination. <br><a href="https://newsroom.ap.org/detail/Election2022/7db40e86264a47f1ad561fcc23993e9f/photo?Query=david%20perdue&amp;mediaType=photo&amp;sortBy=arrivaldatetime:desc&amp;dateRange=Anytime&amp;totalCount=1201&amp;currentItemNo=8" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">AP Photo/John Bazemore</a>
    
    
    
    <p><a href="https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11109-018-9512-2" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">Such mental shortcuts</a> allow voters with limited knowledge of the candidates to vote according to their preferences. But in most cases, endorsements do little to persuade voters to shift their support from one candidate to another.</p>
    
    
    
    <h2>The real sources of the ‘Trump bump’</h2>
    
    
    
    <p>There are at least three other reasons that many of Trump’s favored candidates are finding success in 2022.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>First, most of Trump’s endorsed candidates already hold office. This gives them <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2018/04/26/here-is-why-incumbents-in-congress-are-hard-to-beat.html" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">a distinct electoral advantage</a>. Only one of the congressional incumbents whom Trump endorsed lost in the primary. That candidate, Rep. Madison Cawthorn in North Carolina, chose to run in a <a href="https://www.themountaineer.com/news/the-real-story-behind-madison-cawthorn-switching-congressional-districts/article_ae55d270-46e3-11ec-94b9-236cb74043ff.html" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">new congressional district</a>, partially scuttling his incumbency advantage.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>The stellar performance of Trump-backed incumbents is unsurprising, because incumbents already have a <a href="https://ballotpedia.org/Election_results,_2020:_Incumbent_win_rates_by_state" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">nearly 100% chance</a> of winning primaries. The rare primary upset of an incumbent, like the one that elected New York Democratic <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/26/nyregion/joseph-crowley-ocasio-cortez-democratic-primary.html" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez</a> in 2018, normally sends shock waves through the political landscape.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Of course, Trump has also endorsed some challengers. Research shows that challengers <a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/1532673x15575753" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">raise more money</a> if they receive high-profile endorsements. Trump’s endorsement might have had a similar effect.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>But longtime incumbents often have even <a href="https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.2307/2132148" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">deeper pockets</a>, making them difficult for challengers to defeat. The record reflects this reality: Of the nine Trump-endorsed challengers who have gone up against incumbents in primaries thus far, only three have managed to win.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Trump endorsements are also likely determined by a <a href="https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/american-political-science-review/article/abs/strategic-politicians-and-the-dynamics-of-us-house-elections-194686/75781C1A742A44F566C84B68EF157075" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">candidate’s quality</a>, which can be defined as the extent to which a candidate possesses the skills, reputation and resources – including money – to win elections. High-quality candidates normally contest only those elections they <a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/1532673X07300908" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">know they can win</a>. Key endorsers like Trump stake their reputation on their support for candidates, meaning they are probably choosy about whom to endorse. This helps to explain why not all <a href="https://www.phillyvoice.com/senate-primary-candidates-pennsylvania-republican-sean-gale-2022/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">vocally pro-Trump candidates</a> have received his official blessing.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Finally, <a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/1065912915609437" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">a candidate’s ideology</a> plays an important role in determining winners, losers and support from endorsers. Trump is likely to endorse conservative candidates who align with his policy preferences – <a href="https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixgov/2022/04/15/trump-endorsements-no-slam-dunk-so-far/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">though not always</a>. Successful conservative candidates run in districts and states with many conservative voters. Trump’s endorsement will merely clarify these voters’ affinity for the candidate, while reaffirming others’ decision to vote for someone else.</p>
    
    
    
    <a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/468561/original/file-20220613-26-y7toeo.jpeg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip" rel="nofollow external" class="bo"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/468561/original/file-20220613-26-y7toeo.jpeg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt="Two people, a man and a woman, voting at booths with a lot of writing on them." style="max-width: 100%; height: auto;"></a>Many elements influence how a person votes, and an endorsement is not usually decisive. Here, voters in Atlanta, Ga., on primary election day, May 24, 2022. <br><a href="https://www.gettyimages.com/detail/news-photo/voters-participate-in-the-georgia-primary-on-election-day-news-photo/1240883289?adppopup=true" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">Nathan Posner/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images</a>
    
    
    
    <h2>No endorsement, no problem for Republicans in ‘22</h2>
    
    
    
    <p>Before assigning Trump the credit for boosting candidates in the upcoming 2022 general election, observers should recognize the <a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/108118001129172107?journalCode=hija" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">notorious difficulty</a> of proving causation in the realm of electoral politics. 2022 is primed to be a <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/interactive/2022/senate-control-midterms-2022/" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">banner year</a> for Republican candidates, whether they receive a nod from Trump or not.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Midterm election years are almost always <a href="https://www.jstor.org/stable/30023420" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">tough contests</a> for the party of the incumbent president. Voters associate candidates down the ballot with the president’s performance in office. After an early honeymoon phase, presidential approval often <a href="https://academic.oup.com/poq/article-abstract/40/1/1/1836685" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">slumps</a> as midterm elections near, <a href="https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/american-political-science-review/article/abs/determinants-of-the-outcomes-of-midterm-congressional-elections/2D3701D5F63001FAAD7BF14394DCCAB8" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">damaging</a> the chances of congressional candidates.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>A <a href="https://www.jstor.org/stable/2111453" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">volatile economy</a> is also bad news for the party of the incumbent. While presidents’ actions <a href="https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/706108" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">might not have much effect</a> on national and global economic conditions, many voters <a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/106591290305600303" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">blame the incumbent party</a> anyway.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>These factors combine to heavily favor Republican candidates this year. Trump’s endorsements are far less important for voting behavior than the political and economic context of this year’s elections.</p>
    
    
    
    <p>Hopefully, when it comes time to <a href="https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.2307/2132104" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">discuss the reasons</a> that some candidates won and others lost, commentators will keep these lessons from voting behavior research in mind.</p>
    
    
    
    <p><a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/ian-anson-293805" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">Ian Anson</a>, Associate Professor of Political Science, <em><a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-maryland-baltimore-county-1667" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">University of Maryland, Baltimore County</a></em></p>
    
    
    
    <p>This article is republished from <a href="https://theconversation.com" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/trump-endorsed-candidates-would-generally-win-even-without-his-support-and-thats-usually-the-case-with-all-political-endorsements-184231" rel="nofollow external" class="bo">original article</a>.</p>
    </div>
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