CHMPR Distinguished Lecture Series

Predictability and Prediction of Asian Summer Monsoon

Dr. Jagadish Shukla, George Mason University

2:30pm Tuesday, October 10, 2017, ITE 325, UMBC
Coffee & Tea at 2:00pm

The chaotic nature of the atmosphere puts an upper limit of about two weeks for deterministic prediction of weather. Yet, there is evidence for predictability in the midst of chaos. Societally beneficial dynamical seasonal predictions of short-term climate variations are routinely being made by modeling the interactions among atmosphere, ocean, and land processes. The first part of the seminar will review the evolution of our field from weather prediction to climate prediction.

The second part of the seminar will describe the results for prediction of Asian Summer Monsoons. It will be shown that after 50 years of climate modeling, the fidelity of climate models has improved so that it is possible to produce a skillful prediction of Asian Summer Monsoon rainfall. The seminar will give a historical overview of monsoon forecasting and will present the results of re-forecasting summer monsoon rainfall in the past 57 years (1958-2014) using the NCEP Climate Forecast System. It will be shown that if the modern day coupled climate models were available during the 1970’s, even with the limited ocean observations at that time, it should have been possible to predict the 1972-73 ENSO event and the associated severe monsoon drought over India. Finally, the prospects and future challenges for skillful dynamical seasonal prediction will be described.

J. Shukla was born in 1944 in a small village (Mirdha) in the Ballia district of Uttar Pradesh, India. This village had no electricity, no roads or transportation, and no primary school building. Most of his primary school education was received under a large banyan tree. He passed from the S.R.S. High School, Sheopur, in the first class with distinction in Mathematics and Sanskrit. He was unable to study science in high school because none of the schools near his village included science education. His father, the late Shri Chandra Shekhar Shukla, asked him to read all the science books for classes 6 through 10 during the summer before he was admitted to the S.C. College, Ballia, to study science. After passing the twelfth grade from S.C. College, he went to Banaras Hindu University (B.H.U.) where, at the age of 18, he passed BS (honors) with Physics, Mathematics, and Geology in the first class and then earned the MS in Geophysics in the first class in 1964. He received Ph.D. in Geophysics from BHU in 1971 and ScD in Meteorology from MIT in 1976

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Mayor Catherine Pugh Stands in support of DACA

On September 5th, Attorney General Jeff Sessions announced the Trump administration’s decision to rescind DACA (Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals). DACA protects from deportation and provides legal work authorization to almost 800,000 people nationally, including thousands of people in Maryland. 

As home to many beneficiaries of the DACA program, it is critical that our residents in Baltimore know the new rules. If your DACA protection expires on or before March 5, 2018, your renewal application MUST be received by immigration on or before October 5, 2017. 

For further information and local resources please view the video attached.

Best,

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7vNcIknVQs&feature=youtu.be

https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/MDBALT/bulletins/1ba0388

Advanced registration is required. 

REGISTER HERE

FREE Transportation from UMBC!

A bus will be departing at 8 AM from Administration Circle (in front of the RAC and administration building), and it will be departing from College Park at 5:30 PM.

If you want to ride the bus, you need to email yarazeth@umbc.edu with the subject “BUS Oct 21” and include in the email your full name, campus, department, and cell phone number. The seats will be filled on a first-come-first-served basis. You will receive a confirmation via email. 

REGISTER HERE

 

Please share with your friends and classmates. This is open to students from any local college or university.

 

AGENDA

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 21

All activities will take place in the Jeong H. Kim Building,  University of Maryland – College Park’s Campus

9:00 AM              Registration, Pre-surveys and Continental Breakfast (Pepco Room #1105)

9:50 AM               Program Overview
Dr. Howard G. Adams, GEM Program Consultant (former Executive Director of GEM)

10:00 AM            Welcome (Lecture Hall # 1110)
Dr. Darryll Pines, Dean, Clark School of Engineering, University of Maryland – College Park
Dr. Margaret Palmer, Director, National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center and Professor, Department of Entomology, University of Maryland – College Park

10:15 AM            Session 1:  Why Graduate School? (Lecture Hall # 1110)

Dr. Howard G. Adams, GEM Program Consultant (former Executive Director of GEM)

11:15 AM             Break

11:30 AM             Session 2: How to Apply to Graduate School (Lecture Hall # 1110)
Dr. Renetta G. Tull, Associate Provost for Graduate Student Professional Development & Postdoctoral Affairs, University of Maryland –  Baltimore County (GEM Program Consultant)
Jeffrey A. Franke, Interim Assistant Dean/Chief of Staff, Graduate School, University of Maryland – College Park

12:30 PM             Lunch Break & Graduate Resource Fair (12:30-1:30 PM) (Kay Boardroom #1107, #1111, Rotunda)

1:30   PM             Session 3:  How to Fund Graduate School? (Lecture Hall # 1110)

                             Francis DuVinage, Ph.D., Director of National Scholarships Office, University of Maryland, College Park
Jasmine Crenshaw, Ph.D., Assistant Director, Center for Diversity in Engineering (CDE), Office of Diversity and Engagement, School of Engineering and Applied Science, University of Virginia
                             Monique Hite-Head, Ph.D., Associate Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, Morgan State University

2:15 PM                Break

2:30 PM                   Session 4: Voices from the Field (Lecture Hall # 1110)
Moderator: Quintaniay Holifield, Ph.D., Soil Scientist, U.S. Forest Service
Daniel Smith, Ph.D student, Department of Biological Systems Engineering, Virginia Tech
Shakira Hobbs, Ph.D., postdoctoral fellow, School of Engineering and Applied Sciences and the Darden School of Business, University of Virginia
                             Kelly Anderson, Ph.D student, Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park

3:30 PM                Closing Remarks/Post Surveys (Raffle – Prize Give Away -iPad Mimi)
Dr. Darryll Pines, Dean, Clark School of Engineering, University of Maryland -College Park
Dr. Margaret Palmer, Director, National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center (SESYNC) and Professor, Department of Entomology, University of Maryland – College Park

3:45 PM                Ice Cream Social (Kay Boardroom)

5:00 PM                Program Ends

Baltimore Center Stage is seeking an Artistic Administrator. The Artistic Administrator is primarily responsible for the communication and fiscal management of the Artistic budget; is the primary point of contact and responsible party with Actors Equity Association, Society of Stage Directors, and the local musicians’ union. The Artistic Administrator supervises Company Management.